In 2023, according to data from the Bureau of International Recycling (BIR), global ferrous scrap consumption in key countries (China, EU-27, USA, Japan, Turkey, India, South Korea) was 1% lower compared to 2022, reaching 461 million tons. This slight decline occurred despite increased crude steel production via the BF-BOF route. Additionally, global seaborne scrap trade fell by 5% to 56 million tons, reflecting challenges in the steel market amid economic uncertainties.
Nevertheless, ferrous scrap remains indispensable for steel industry sustainability and emissions reduction. Scrap-based steelmaking via the EAF route offers significantly lower emissions intensity compared to the traditional BF-BOF route, aligning with global decarbonization efforts. Developed economies like the US and the EU are increasing EAF utilization due to abundant scrap availability. Spiraling global carbon prices will further accelerate the shift to EAFs. Achieving decarbonization goals requires access to low-carbon embedded DRI and high-quality ferrous scrap, particularly in Asia. However, the increase in EAF capacity in many countries may tighten global scrap availability, prompting advanced economies to prioritize domestic decarbonization, while emerging economies should diversify supply sources and enhance domestic scrap sector organization. In South Asian economies, ferrous scrap usage will be influenced by shifts in overseas scrap availability. Despite this, BF-BOF capacity expansions in Asia may lead to increased scrap usage in BOF steelmaking to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions.
India aimed to achieve a steel capacity of 300 million tonnes by 2030-31 according to the National Steel Policy 2017. While the industry was making progress, the COVID - 19 pandemic hasset back the target by 2 - 3 years.As a result, the capacity of crude steel is expected to reach 242 million tonnes by 2030.
Bigmint predicts that steel production will reach 210 million tonnes by 2030, assuming a 7-8% compound annual growth rate(CAGR).Bigmint also projects that by 2030, the Basic Oxygen Furnace(BOF) steelmaking route will increase to contribute 55 %.
The Eastern Region leads Indian steel production with a capacity of 95 Mnt and production of 78 Mnt, primarily through the BF - BOF route, highlighting the dominance of integrated steel plants.The Western Region, with a capacity of 34 Mnt and production of 28 Mnt, has a more balanced distribution among BF - BOF, EAF, and IF processes, indicating significant reliance on secondary steel - making.In the Southern Region, a capacity of 32 Mnt and production of 27 Mnt come mainly from BF - BOF.
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14-November-2024
Trade-level prices of coated steel products have stood unchanged over the week. Most of the markets across the country are witnessing reduced activities ahead of the Diwali festival. SteelMint’s weekly assessment for galvanised plain coil (GPC) sta...
Mr. Nitish Shukul
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Ms. Anamika Jain
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